Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.6%
Mansfield
20.2%
Draw
17.2%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Mansfield
vs
0.92
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.4%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).