Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
Sevilla
15.9%
Draw
71.3%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Sevilla
vs
2.74
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.574.0%
Over 3.553.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.9%
1-3
8.1%
0-2
7.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-1
6.6%
0-1
5.7%
1-4
5.5%
0-4
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
2-3
4.5%
2-1
3.6%
2-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).