Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.4%
Thun
19.4%
Draw
11.2%
Lausanne Sport
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Thun
vs
0.96
Lausanne Sport
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.545.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
6.6%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
0-0
4.5%
3-2
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).