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30 Nov 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.3%
Bologna
25.2%
Draw
19.5%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Bologna

vs
0.80

Venezia

Markets

BTTS42.9%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).