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AHT: 11CSV

27 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.2%
Edinburgh City
24.5%
Draw
51.3%
Stirling

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Edinburgh City

vs
1.81

Stirling

Markets

BTTS58.8%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.3%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).