Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Chasetown
25.4%
Draw
25.5%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Chasetown
vs
0.99
Bury
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).