Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Portsmouth
27.8%
Draw
32.6%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Portsmouth
vs
1.27
Leicester
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).