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AHT: 11CSV

30 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.8%
Bromley
21.7%
Draw
18.6%
Aldershot

Expected Goals (xG)

2.16

Bromley

vs
1.15

Aldershot

Markets

BTTS61.1%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
4.0%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).