Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.3%
Metz
16.8%
Draw
67.9%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Metz
vs
2.52
Monaco
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
7.2%
0-3
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-3
4.4%
0-4
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
1-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).