Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.2%
Crawley Town
20.9%
Draw
61.8%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Crawley Town
vs
1.90
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).