Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.5%
Swindon
25.3%
Draw
25.2%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Swindon
vs
0.89
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
9.9%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).