Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.4%
Lyon
17.9%
Draw
12.6%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Lyon
vs
0.76
Nantes
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.9%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.0%
4-0
4.8%
0-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).