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AHT: 00CSV

10 Aug 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.1%
Wigan
26.7%
Draw
47.3%
Charlton

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Wigan

vs
1.28

Charlton

Markets

BTTS40.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.2%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
10.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).