Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.1%
Bromsgrove Sporting
8.5%
Draw
2.4%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
3.18
Bromsgrove Sporting
vs
0.44
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS34.2%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.548.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
14.4%
2-0
13.6%
4-0
11.5%
1-0
8.3%
5-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
4-1
5.0%
1-1
4.0%
5-1
3.2%
0-0
3.0%
3-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).