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DHT: 00CSV

10 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.6%
Waasland-Beveren
28.2%
Draw
37.2%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Waasland-Beveren

vs
1.30

Waregem

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).