⚽ FootballData
2 – 0
H

02 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
21.9%
Skegness Town
21.2%
Draw
56.9%
Manchester City

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Skegness Town

vs
1.95

Manchester City

Markets

BTTS57.7%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
0-1
9.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.4%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
3.6%
1-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).