Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.0%
Fiorentina
17.5%
Draw
70.5%
Inter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Fiorentina
vs
2.28
Inter
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.8%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.9%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
7.3%
0-4
5.1%
0-0
4.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).