Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.9%
Leeds
23.6%
Draw
20.5%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Leeds
vs
1.22
Burnley
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
3-1
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
0-0
5.0%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).