Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.1%
Wealdstone
27.5%
Draw
35.4%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Wealdstone
vs
1.36
Sutton
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.8%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).