Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Parma
30.0%
Draw
25.5%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Parma
vs
0.80
Pisa
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.558.4%
Over 2.531.5%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.5%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).