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AHT: 01CSV

26 Aug 2023 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.7%
FeralpiSalo
29.9%
Draw
38.3%
Sudtirol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

FeralpiSalo

vs
1.28

Sudtirol

Markets

BTTS50.6%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-0
10.1%
0-1
10.0%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).