Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.3%
Watford
22.7%
Draw
11.0%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Watford
vs
0.63
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
2-0
14.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
9.0%
3-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).