Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Metz
25.2%
Draw
37.2%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Metz
vs
1.34
Nantes
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
9.4%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).