Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.3%
Kasımpaşa
34.1%
Draw
25.6%
Kayserispor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Kasımpaşa
vs
1.02
Kayserispor
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.2%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.5%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).