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09 Nov 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.7%
Kocaelispor
33.2%
Draw
56.1%
Galatasaray

Expected Goals (xG)

0.50

Kocaelispor

vs
1.37

Galatasaray

Markets

BTTS31.8%
Over 0.581.9%
Over 1.558.4%
Over 2.528.8%
Over 3.512.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.5%
0-0
18.1%
0-2
14.5%
1-1
13.2%
1-2
7.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-0
5.0%
1-3
3.3%
2-1
2.6%
0-4
2.3%
2-0
1.9%
2-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).