Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.3%
Empoli
26.9%
Draw
24.9%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Empoli
vs
0.91
Monza
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).