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08 Oct 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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81.2%
Evesham United
10.5%
Draw
8.3%
Bishop's Cleeve

Expected Goals (xG)

3.56

Evesham United

vs
1.18

Bishop's Cleeve

Markets

BTTS67.1%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.594.9%
Over 2.585.1%
Over 3.569.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-1
7.8%
4-1
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
4-0
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
5-1
4.9%
3-2
4.6%
5-0
4.2%
4-2
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
1-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).