Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.2%
Man United
28.1%
Draw
40.7%
Bourne Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Man United
vs
1.19
Bourne Town
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
10.7%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).