⚽ FootballData
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HHT: 10CSV

12 Mar 2019

Wigan

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.3%
Blackburn
34.1%
Draw
19.6%
Wigan

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Blackburn

vs
0.63

Wigan

Markets

BTTS32.5%
Over 0.581.6%
Over 1.553.2%
Over 2.525.6%
Over 3.510.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.4%
1-0
18.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-0
10.9%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-0
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).