Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.4%
Schalke 04
22.3%
Draw
9.3%
Regensburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Schalke 04
vs
0.56
Regensburg
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
2-0
15.4%
1-1
10.0%
3-0
9.7%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).