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28 Feb 2026 · 19:45

Genoa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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74.0%
Inter
15.9%
Draw
10.0%
Genoa

Expected Goals (xG)

2.42

Inter

vs
0.77

Genoa

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.1%
1-0
10.2%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).