Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.1%
Villarreal
22.8%
Draw
20.1%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Villarreal
vs
1.03
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
6.0%
0-0
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).