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AHT: 00CSV

30 Apr 2016

Wigan

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.6%
Blackpool
24.9%
Draw
25.5%
Wigan

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Blackpool

vs
0.92

Wigan

Markets

BTTS44.5%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.7%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).