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03 May 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.2%
Lincoln
27.6%
Draw
33.2%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Lincoln

vs
0.99

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS41.1%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.7%
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).