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25 Oct 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.2%
Yeovil
26.1%
Draw
37.7%
Aldershot

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Yeovil

vs
1.52

Aldershot

Markets

BTTS61.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
0-2
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).