Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Toulouse
24.5%
Draw
36.4%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Toulouse
vs
1.38
Lyon
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).