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AHT: 11CSV

13 Mar 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.6%
Fuenlabrada
26.9%
Draw
52.6%
Las Palmas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Fuenlabrada

vs
1.43

Las Palmas

Markets

BTTS41.0%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.9%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
11.2%
0-0
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.7%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).