Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.0%
Sheffield Weds
15.6%
Draw
9.4%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Sheffield Weds
vs
0.62
Crewe
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.4%
1-0
13.5%
3-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
6.0%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
2.8%
5-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).