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AHT: 00CSV

12 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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76.4%
York
16.5%
Draw
7.0%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

2.40

York

vs
0.61

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.1%
3-0
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-0
6.8%
0-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-0
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
0-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).