Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Boston Utd
25.3%
Draw
26.6%
Eastleigh
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Boston Utd
vs
1.26
Eastleigh
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).