Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.8%
Gainsborough Trinity
14.4%
Draw
12.8%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.90
Gainsborough Trinity
vs
1.18
Man United
Markets
BTTS65.1%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.591.2%
Over 2.577.2%
Over 3.558.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.9%
1-1
5.6%
1-0
5.1%
4-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-2
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).