Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
CSKA Moskva
41.4%
Draw
35.7%
Baltika Kaliningrad
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
CSKA Moskva
vs
0.79
Baltika Kaliningrad
Markets
BTTS25.2%
Over 0.573.0%
Over 1.540.8%
Over 2.515.7%
Over 3.54.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
27.0%
0-1
18.8%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-1
3.3%
0-3
2.1%
2-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
3-0
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).