Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.0%
Santa Clara
29.9%
Draw
20.1%
Pacos Ferreira
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Santa Clara
vs
0.63
Pacos Ferreira
Markets
BTTS31.8%
Over 0.584.2%
Over 1.553.5%
Over 2.527.2%
Over 3.511.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.9%
0-0
15.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
0-1
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-0
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
0-2
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).