Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.7%
Barcelona
7.3%
Draw
2.9%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
3.55
Barcelona
vs
0.60
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.578.2%
Over 3.559.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.8%
4-0
10.5%
2-0
10.0%
5-0
7.4%
3-1
7.0%
4-1
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
1-0
5.6%
5-1
4.4%
1-1
3.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).