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AHT: 14CSV

17 Jan 2026 · 20:05

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.6%
Angers
23.6%
Draw
52.8%
Marseille

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Angers

vs
1.61

Marseille

Markets

BTTS49.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.9%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
8.0%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).