Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.0%
Hoffenheim
14.1%
Draw
12.9%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
3.31
Hoffenheim
vs
1.45
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS74.0%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.595.4%
Over 2.585.3%
Over 3.569.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
4-1
6.2%
3-2
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
4-2
4.5%
1-1
4.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
4.1%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).