Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.7%
Rennes
23.2%
Draw
16.1%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Rennes
vs
0.73
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).