Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.5%
Ipswich
20.3%
Draw
8.3%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Ipswich
vs
0.55
Wigan
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.6%
1-0
14.8%
3-0
10.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
5.3%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).