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DHT: 00CSV

30 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.9%
Dijon
22.4%
Draw
46.8%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Dijon

vs
1.71

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS60.0%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-0
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).