Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.3%
Swansea
23.0%
Draw
11.7%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Swansea
vs
0.66
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).